
In fact, the Syrian masses all over Syria has reached horrifying levels of exhaustion, misery, and tiredness following the defeat of the popular revolution. In spite of that, or perhaps because of it, the people’s wrath against the junta regime is ever growing, reaching up to groups the regime once thought of as its support base. Although the regime has gained military control over vast territories imposing seize fire in it, the accompanying social politicoes of impoverishment and starvation are triggering popular anger no longer containable through cheap propaganda about conspiracies and anti-israeli resistance.
the regime is thus in panic facing popular resentment in its own territories, caught between two unfavourable options. If it were to resort to its classic method of mass violent oppression (wether through state forces on allied milichias), then its running a massive risk of inducing a huge popular uprising that it has no power to contain. The other option would entail relative tolerance of the popular anger with selective violent oppression, which runs the risk of being perceived as a weak by some factions of the masses, consequently encouraging their revolt. The regime is thus on a forced path (despite attempts to rescue it) ending in direct confrontation with the popular masses.
However, it is clear that there are regional and global attempts at keeping the regime afloat. Some of the many pointers to that include: The gas and electricity project from Egypt and Jordan, and passing by Syria, the transportation of aid – through paths controlled by the regime- to idlib (which under Turkish occupation and terrorist organization levant liberation front),The Jordanian king declaring that Syria ought to be get back at playing its role in Arab politics, the official visit made by the Lebanese government, open and secret meetings conducted with the Turkish government , among others..
Furthermore, it is clear that these attempts at reproducing the regime are , to an extent, a result of a Russian American agreement, one that was further strengthened by the withdrawal of american forces from afghanistan defeated after 2 decades of insane and brutal war. This defeat will form a mark of the shrinking sphere of US global imperialism in favour of the rise of Russian and Chinese imperialism as well as certain regional and local powers.
That doesn’t imply a regression of the US military prowess as it remains the strongest military in the world, but that US economy is no longer capable of supporting its endless global wars thereby risking its ultimate internal collapse (as many previous empires experienced). Hence, the US opting for new strategy of limiting its ground presence while focusing on long range hits. Thus, the US forces presence ,in limited numbers and at low cost, in Syria is likely to remain until it accomplishes its goals or is forcefully removed. These military forces insure the US a primal role in the politics of the region at low costs, yet it remains a weak and loose presence that respects turkish interests and avoid direct confrontation with the regime and its Russian and Iranian allies. On the other hand, US provides restrained support for the the democratic Syria forces merely to shield itself for isis forces, as it has never declared support of the autonomous (self administrated) zone which the governing political body in north east syria due to their disapproval of the latter’s political project. In fact, the US has been actively attempting at taming the self-administartion and at altering its poltical and social character, which signals their readiness to abandoning the administration once their interests are met, analogously to the recent afghanishtan example.
As for the state of the diverse opposition, the boiling point is very nearly reached, fuelled by a popular sentimant that the major global players are orchestrating some deal concerning internal Syrian politics. And as per usual, the liberal opposition restricts its space of “struggle” and activism to “national” conferences (an obssession by this point) whose political demise is evident ever before they re conducted.
The revolutionary left current in Syria
September 2021